Victoria real estate market needs better mix of housing supply to help restore balance

A total of 544 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this August, 13.8 per cent more than the 478 properties sold in August 2022 and an 8.6 per cent decrease from July 2023. Sales of condominiums were up 10.8 per cent from August 2022 with 164 units sold. Sales of single family homes increased 9.6 per cent from August 2022 with 273 sold.

“Real estate activity this month reflected what we’d expect to see in an average late summer housing market,” said Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Graden Sol. “The beginning of the month was reasonably slow, and sales ramped up through the last half of the month. The brisk sales pace leading up to the end of August may very well continue into September.” 

There were 2,490 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of August 2023, an increase of 2.9 per cent compared to the previous month of July and a 16.5 per cent increase from the 2,137 active listings for sale at the end of August 2022. 

"The focus in our market and by all levels of government needs to be on opening up more supply," Sol notes. "Our inventory levels, though up from last year, are still too low to support a well-balanced market. A decade ago, we saw over 5,000 active listings in August. Another important piece of supply is the housing mix that is available. Most residential properties for sale in our market last month were single family homes – this type of property is generally at the top price point. Missing middle homes, such as townhomes and condos represented only 37.1% of listings for sale. Townhomes, which in my experience are what a lot of families hope to purchase, represented only 9.8% of the residential properties for sale. This imbalance in the mix of housing options means there is the potential for more price pressure on these types of properties because demand is concentrated at more attainable price points."

The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in August 2022 was $1,327,700. The benchmark value for the same home in August 2023 decreased by 0.3 per cent to $1,323,900, which is up from July’s value of $1,318,800. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in August 2022 was $583,700, while the benchmark value for the same condominium in August 2023 decreased by 0.3 per cent to $582,000, which is up from the July value of $578,000.

A total of 595 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this July, 16.7 per cent more than the 510 properties sold in July 2022 and a 15.6 per cent decrease from June 2023. Sales of condominiums were up 16.3 per cent from July 2022 with 200 units sold. Sales of single family homes increased 15.4 per cent from July 2022 with 293 sold.

“We talked about the return to seasonal norms last month,” said Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Graden Sol. “The July numbers reinforce the re-establishment of seasonal patterns with a slow-down in activity as the summer season set in. This dip in activity doesn't come as a surprise — it aligns with the familiar and expected seasonal patterns that have been observed in our market over the years.” 

 There were 2,419 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of July 2023, an increase of 3.3 per cent compared to the previous month of June and a 11.9 per cent increase from the 2,162 active listings for sale at the end of July 2022. 

 "The good news is that, despite a slowdown in sales, we did witness an increase in inventory coming to the market in July," Sol notes. "These new listings are quite encouraging, as they indicate a growing movement in our market and show that consumers are becoming more willing to take action and make a move. The additional inventory translates to more choices for buyers, and makes it easier for sellers who are looking to make a property change. Another positive aspect of a typical summer market is that, due to people often taking vacations during this time of year, there may be fewer active buyers. Although we continue to see well-priced properties receive competing offers, there might be less competition compared to previous months. If you are contemplating a summer move, it would be wise to connect with your local REALTOR® for assistance. Your Realtor possesses up-to-the-minute information for Victoria and knows how to navigate the market efficiently."

 The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in July 2022 was $1,366,100. The benchmark value for the same home in July 2023 decreased by 3.5 per cent to $1,318,800, which is up from June’s value of $1,310,100. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in July 2022 was $600,000, while the benchmark value for the same condominium in July 2023 decreased by 3.7 per cent to $578,000, which is up from the June value of $573,800.

A total of 705 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this June, 15.2 per cent more than the 612 properties sold in June 2022 and a 9 per cent decrease from May 2023. Sales of condominiums were up 19.8 per cent from June 2022 with 242 units sold. Sales of single family homes increased 6.6 per cent from June 2022 with 322 sold.

“As we consider the first half of the year, we see a return to a more traditional sales trend which follows the seasons,” said Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Graden Sol. “During and shortly after the pandemic, we couldn’t rely on our usual comparisons to explain the market. This year we have seen a return to a seasonal pattern, where the sales are slower through the winter and may peak in the spring. This seasonal trend is generally followed by a summer market which remains stable but is not as highly active.” 

There were 2,342 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of June 2023, an increase of 7 per cent compared to the previous month of May and a 13.7 per cent increase from the 2,059 active listings for sale at the end of June 2022. 

“We have seen a small increase in inventory over the month of June,” adds Sol. “This inventory is very welcome, as we are still low on available listings for sale compared to historical counts. If inventory continues to rise, we may see prices stabilize further – another reminder of how important it is to add supply to the marketplace where possible. Well-priced properties are still selling rapidly while benchmark pricing remains reasonably level. In terms of pace and stability this is good news for sellers and buyers and hopefully heralds a summer of positive real estate transactions. To ensure that your transaction goes smoothly, engage a local REALTOR® to assist. Your Realtor knows the up-to-the-minute information for Victoria and how to navigate the market.”

The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in June 2022 was $1,408,500. The benchmark value for the same home in June 2023 decreased by 7 per cent to $1,310,100, which is up from May’s value of $1,297,600. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in June 2022 was $615,200, while the benchmark value for the same condominium in June 2023 decreased by 9 per cent to $573,800, which is up from the May value of $569,300.